Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 24/08, 20:00
Prediction: Quinn Vandecasteele vs James Duckworth
Team pages: Quinn Vandecasteele · James Duckworth
Prediction summary
Winner
Quinn Vandecasteele
James Duckworth
Estimated games
23.1Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Quinn Vandecasteele
7-3 (W-L)
James Duckworth
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Quinn Vandecasteele
0–1
James Duckworth
(1 last)
- 03 Feb0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quinn Vandecasteele 1558 · James Duckworth 1497
| Quinn Vandecasteele | James Duckworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 26% | 74% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quinn Vandecasteele (rating 1558 vs 1497).
- Head-to-head: Quinn Vandecasteele 0–1 James Duckworth (1).
- Note: Quinn Vandecasteele makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Quinn Vandecasteele | James Duckworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.6 | 12.9-13.4 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 78.4% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 35.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.6
Over 21.5: 61% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 39% · 1.83
H2H · Quinn Vandecasteele 0 – 1 James Duckworth (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Quinn Vandecasteele 0–1 James Duckworth
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/24 Challenger Cleveland | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quinn Vandecasteele
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 22/08 | Li Tu ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Ajeet Rai Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/08 | Patricio Alvarado Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Maxwell Exsted M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
James Duckworth
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Alex De Minaur ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Cameron Norrie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Aidan Mayo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 30/06 | Tallon Griekspoor Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 20/06 | Giles Hussey ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quinn Vandecasteele vs James Duckworth?
Our model gives 60% to James Duckworth, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.