Tennis · M25 Oviedo · 25/08, 10:00
Prediction: Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Michiel de Krom
Team pages: Bernardo Munk Mesa · Michiel de Krom
Prediction summary
Winner
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Michiel de Krom
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Bernardo Munk Mesa
3-7 (W-L)
Michiel de Krom
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bernardo Munk Mesa 1448 · Michiel de Krom 1493
| Bernardo Munk Mesa | Michiel de Krom | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michiel de Krom (rating 1448 vs 1493).
- Note: Bernardo Munk Mesa makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Bernardo Munk Mesa | Michiel de Krom | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-12.3 | 9.9-11.4 |
| Aces | 5 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 6 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 58% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Santander |
1-1 | 8-9 | L |
| 18/08 | Yanaki Milev M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
| 19/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/07 | John Echeverria Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Mikel Martinez M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Carles Cordoba M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Michiel de Krom
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Elijah Sanogo M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Denia |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Niklas Schell Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Noah Lopez Cherubino M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Michiel de Krom?
Our model gives 63% to Michiel de Krom, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.