Tennis · M25 Oviedo · 25/08, 10:00
Prediction: Ryan Nijboer vs Tomas Curras Abasolo
Team pages: Ryan Nijboer · Tomas Curras Abasolo
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Nijboer
Tomas Curras Abasolo
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Nijboer
5-5 (W-L)
Tomas Curras Abasolo
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ryan Nijboer
1–2
Tomas Curras Abasolo
(3 last)
- 25 Mar1-2 8-14L
- 12 Nov0-2 8-13L
- 13 Aug2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Nijboer 1523 · Tomas Curras Abasolo 1446
| Ryan Nijboer | Tomas Curras Abasolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryan Nijboer (rating 1523 vs 1446).
- Ryan Nijboer is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ryan Nijboer 1–2 Tomas Curras Abasolo (3).
Statistics
| Ryan Nijboer | Tomas Curras Abasolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9 | 9.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 2 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 57.6% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Ryan Nijboer 1 – 2 Tomas Curras Abasolo (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryan Nijboer 1–2 Tomas Curras Abasolo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/26 M25 Tarragona | 1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 12/11/25 M25 Vale do Lobo | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/08/24 ITF M15 Gijon | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Nijboer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 17/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Kasra Rahmani Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Tomas Curras Abasolo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Santander |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Porto |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Alen Mujakic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Julian Alonso M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Oriol Roca Batalla M25 Vic |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Diogo Marques M25 Loule · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 05/05 | Florian Broska M25 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/05 | Fausto Tabacco UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Raghav Jaisinghani UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/04 | Bas Bouwman UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Nijboer vs Tomas Curras Abasolo?
Our model gives 73% to Ryan Nijboer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.