Tennis · W35 Trieste · 24/08, 10:00

Prediction: Alja Senica vs Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard

Team pages: Alja Senica · Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Alja Senica Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alja Senica 7-3 (W-L)
LWLWLWWWWW
Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard 7-3 (W-L)
LWLLWWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alja Senica 1572 · Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard 1488
Alja SenicaDaphnee Mpetshi Perricard
Our model62%38%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alja Senica (rating 1572 vs 1488).
  • Alja Senica is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Alja Senica makes many double faults (4/match).
  • Note: Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Alja SenicaDaphnee Mpetshi Perricard
Win %70%40%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.2-1.2
Games (G-P)10.3-1010.8-11.1
Aces0.55.5
Double faults44.1
1st serve %54.5%60.8%
Break %56%42.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alja Senica

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/08 Sara Mikaca
W15 Rogaska Slatina
2-1 17-14 W
01/08 Stefania Bojica
W15 Rogaska Slatina
2-0 13-7 W
31/07 Federica Trevisan
W15 Rogaska Slatina
2-0 13-8 W
30/07 Ela Plosnik
W15 Rogaska Slatina
2-0 13-8 W
29/07 Vicky Van De Peer
W15 Rogaska Slatina
2-0 13-9 W
20/07 Maria Garcia Cid
W75 Cordenons
0-2 1-12 L
19/07 Stella Jurina
W75 Cordenons
2-0 12-5 W
16/07 Ruth Roura Llaverias
W15 Krsko
0-2 0-12 L
15/07 Tea Kovacevic
W15 Krsko
2-1 15-12 W
25/06 Radka Zelnickova
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L

Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Salma Djoubri
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
1-2 11-15 L
26/07 Agustina Chlpac
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
1-2 12-14 L
25/07 Marie Mettraux
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-0 13-7 W
24/07 Sarah Iliev
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-0 12-6 W
23/07 Jenny Lim
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-0 12-4 W
22/07 Hanna Bougouffa
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-0 13-7 W
15/07 Luna Vujovic
W35 Torino
1-2 13-18 L
14/07 Carla Giambelli
W35 Torino
0-2 6-12 L
29/06 Madison Sieg
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
1-2 11-16 L
19/05 Bianca Andreescu
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alja Senica vs Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard?

Our model gives 53% to Alja Senica, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.