Tennis · W35 Trieste · 25/08, 10:00
Prediction: Federica Trevisan vs Alessandra Mazzola
Team pages: Federica Trevisan · Alessandra Mazzola
Prediction summary
Winner
Federica Trevisan
Alessandra Mazzola
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Federica Trevisan
5-5 (W-L)
Alessandra Mazzola
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federica Trevisan 1511 · Alessandra Mazzola 1452
| Federica Trevisan | Alessandra Mazzola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federica Trevisan (rating 1511 vs 1452).
- Federica Trevisan is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Federica Trevisan | Alessandra Mazzola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.5 | 10.4-13 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.3% | 52.1% |
| Break % | 63.4% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federica Trevisan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Ana Grubor W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Alja Senica W15 Rogaska Slatina |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Nala Kovacic W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Anna-Lena Ebster W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Hanna Bougouffa W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Monika Wojcik W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Marie Vogt W15 Krsko |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Ella Haavisto W15 Krsko |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Megan Heuser W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Mariia Drobysheva W15 Krsko |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
Alessandra Mazzola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Teodora Miron W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Iva Ivanova W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 20/07 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Francesca Gandolfi WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Jule Niemeier W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Luisina Giovannini WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federica Trevisan vs Alessandra Mazzola?
Our model gives 62% to Alessandra Mazzola, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.