Tennis · W35 Trieste · 25/08, 10:00

Prediction: Carolina Dibenedetto vs Maria Andrienko

Team pages: Maria Andrienko

Prediction summary
Winner
29% 71%
Carolina Dibenedetto Maria Andrienko
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Carolina Dibenedetto 2-8 (W-L)
WLLWLLLLLL
Maria Andrienko 5-5 (W-L)
LLLLLWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carolina Dibenedetto 1440 · Maria Andrienko 1571
Carolina DibenedettoMaria Andrienko
Our model32%68%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Andrienko (rating 1440 vs 1571).
  • Maria Andrienko is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Carolina Dibenedetto makes many double faults (4.5/match).
  • Note: Maria Andrienko makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Carolina DibenedettoMaria Andrienko
Win %30%70%
Win % · Clay 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.71.5-0.8
Games (G-P)7.3-12.410.7-10.3
Aces0.60.4
Double faults4.54.2
1st serve %52.3%57.1%
Break %28.1%48.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carolina Dibenedetto

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Ilinca D Amariei
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
11/08 Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
20/07 Arianna Zucchini
W75 Cordenons
0-2 3-12 L
15/07 Antonia Stoyanov
W35 Torino
0-2 3-12 L
22/06 Aneta Kucmova
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
10/06 Carlota Martinez Cirez
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
09/06 Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-1 9-10 W
06/06 Marta Soriano Santiago
W15 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 4-11 L
05/06 Lorena Solar Donoso
W15 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W
04/06 Diae El Jardi
W15 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-1 16-17 W

Maria Andrienko

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/08 Lisa Claeys
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-0 13-5 W
22/08 Romane Longueville
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-0 13-9 W
21/08 Margaux Maquet
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-0 8-4 W
20/08 Sevil Yuldasheva
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-0 12-8 W
19/08 Marianne Argyrokastriti
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-0 14-11 W
18/08 Charlotte Van Zonneveld
W15 Wanfercee-Baulet
2-1 9-10 W
02/08 Lucie Nguyen Tan
W75 Koksijde
0-2 1-12 L
26/07 Anastasiia Firman
W50 Knokke-Heist
0-2 7-13 L
23/07 Charlotte Cora Bruneton
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
1-2 13-16 L
21/07 Enola Chiesa
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-1 17-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carolina Dibenedetto vs Maria Andrienko?

Our model gives 71% to Maria Andrienko, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.