Tennis · M25 Oviedo · 24/08, 10:00
Prediction: Toprak Avcibasi vs Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Team pages: Toprak Avcibasi
Prediction summary
Winner
Toprak Avcibasi
Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Toprak Avcibasi
1-9 (W-L)
Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Toprak Avcibasi 1394 · Maxi Carrascosa Diaz 1455
| Toprak Avcibasi | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxi Carrascosa Diaz (rating 1394 vs 1455).
- Note: Toprak Avcibasi makes many double faults (10.5/match).
- Note: Maxi Carrascosa Diaz makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Toprak Avcibasi | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.9 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.4-12.4 | 9.8-11 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 10.5 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 54.4% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Toprak Avcibasi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Aaron Paul Samson M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Maximilian Figl M15 Malmo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Sven Corbinais M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Eric Vanshelboim M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Amaan Siddiqui M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 17/02 | Pablo Aunion M15 Villena · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/12 | Aleksander Chayka M15 Ceuta · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/12 | Michiel de Krom ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 12/11 | Maximilian Figl ITF M15 LPD Gran Canaria · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Enzo Helguera Casado M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Javier Munoz Fuster M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 11-10 | L |
| 22/06 | Carles Hernandez M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/02 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M15 Villena · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/02 | Maxime Chazal M15 Villena · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Tito Chavez M15 Villena · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 11/11 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez ITF M15 LPD Gran Canaria · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Alvaro Peiro Serrano ITF M25 Valencia |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Toprak Avcibasi vs Maxi Carrascosa Diaz?
Our model gives 70% to Maxi Carrascosa Diaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.