Tennis · M25 Oviedo · 24/08, 10:00
Prediction: Alejandro Garcia vs Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani
Team pages: Alejandro Garcia
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Garcia
Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Garcia
4-6 (W-L)
Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alejandro Garcia
1–0
Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani
(1 last)
- 11 Nov2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Garcia 1547 · Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani 1410
| Alejandro Garcia | Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Garcia (rating 1547 vs 1410).
- Alejandro Garcia is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Alejandro Garcia 1–0 Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani (1).
- Note: Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alejandro Garcia | Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-8.7 | 7.9-12 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 56.1% |
| Break % | 54.9% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Alejandro Garcia 1 – 0 Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alejandro Garcia 1–0 Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/24 ITF M15 Valencia | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Garcia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Marc Ros Mesas M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Santander |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/07 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Iker Gaztambide Arrastia M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Carlos Giraldi M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Alex Blanchar M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Guillem Busquets Brau M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Raghav Harsh M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Ruben Hartig M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Pepijn Bastiaansen M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Nik Mikovic M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Noah Schlagenhauf M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 28/04 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Daniel De Jonge ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Alvaro Peiro Serrano ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 25/08 | Noah Regas M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 6-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Garcia vs Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani?
Our model gives 81% to Alejandro Garcia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.