Tennis · M15 Cap d'Agde · 24/08, 12:00
Prediction: Thomas Gerbaud vs Jules Auffray
Team pages: Thomas Gerbaud
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Prediction summary
Winner
Thomas Gerbaud
Jules Auffray
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Thomas Gerbaud
4-6 (W-L)
Jules Auffray
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thomas Gerbaud 1483 · Jules Auffray 1548
| Thomas Gerbaud | Jules Auffray | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jules Auffray (rating 1483 vs 1548).
- Jules Auffray is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Thomas Gerbaud | Jules Auffray | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-8.9 | 13-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 3 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 0 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 60% |
| Break % | 64.4% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thomas Gerbaud
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Tom Jonio M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Pijus Vaitiekunas M15 Lambermont |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Mac Visser M25 Koksijde |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Axel Huysmans M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/08 | Samuel Battistone M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu M25 Bacau |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Jules Leroux M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Alexis Roussignol M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/05 | Robinson Le Meur M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Oriol Roca Batalla M25 Vic |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Jules Auffray
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Lluc Mir Anglada M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/05 | Tomas Rengel Sierra UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/05 | Valentin Lapalu UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/05 | Joris Moret UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Samy Iraqi UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/05 | Julien Dando UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 11/05 | Noah Boutleux UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 29/11 | Igor Mandou Berranger UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 27/11 | Leo Gazagnaire UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/11 | Cole Shoults UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thomas Gerbaud vs Jules Auffray?
Our model gives 60% to Thomas Gerbaud, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.