Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 23/08, 19:00
Prediction: Felix Balshaw vs Sebastian Gorzny
Team pages: Felix Balshaw · Sebastian Gorzny
Prediction summary
Winner
Felix Balshaw
Sebastian Gorzny
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Felix Balshaw
6-4 (W-L)
Sebastian Gorzny
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felix Balshaw 1506 · Sebastian Gorzny 1522
| Felix Balshaw | Sebastian Gorzny | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sebastian Gorzny makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Felix Balshaw | Sebastian Gorzny | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.4 | 11.7-12.2 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.8
Over 22.5: 56% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 44% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felix Balshaw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Luca Pow ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Sebastian Gorzny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Marc Polmans ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Axel Nefve M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 07/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Borna Gojo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 04/08 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Maxwell Exsted M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 21/07 | Borna Gojo Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Gavin Young Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 19/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felix Balshaw vs Sebastian Gorzny?
Our model gives 56% to Felix Balshaw, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.