Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 23/08, 19:00
Prediction: Hugo Grenier vs Mees Rottgering
Team pages: Hugo Grenier · Mees Rottgering
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Grenier
Mees Rottgering
Estimated games
20.1Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Grenier
4-6 (W-L)
Mees Rottgering
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Grenier 1485 · Mees Rottgering 1541
| Hugo Grenier | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mees Rottgering (rating 1485 vs 1541).
- Mees Rottgering is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Hugo Grenier makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Hugo Grenier | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.2 | 10.2-8.2 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 36% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1 · Bet365 line 24.5 · -4.4
Over 24.5: 22% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 78% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Grenier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Neil Oberleitner ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/08 | Dali Blanch Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Cyril Vandermeersch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Matthias Uwe Kask M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Tristan Berard M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Luca Nardi Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Mees Rottgering
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Hunter Heck ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Henry Searle Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Garrett Johns Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Benjamin Kittay Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Grenier vs Mees Rottgering?
Our model gives 60% to Mees Rottgering, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.