Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · 25/08, 02:30

Prediction: Belle Thompson vs Juliet Santitto

Team pages: Belle Thompson · Juliet Santitto

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Belle Thompson Juliet Santitto
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Belle Thompson 7-3 (W-L)
WWLLWWWWLW
Juliet Santitto 6-4 (W-L)
LLWLWLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Belle Thompson 1541 · Juliet Santitto 1545
Belle ThompsonJuliet Santitto
Our model49%51%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Belle ThompsonJuliet Santitto
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 100% (1) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.81.3-1.1
Games (G-P)13-10.110.8-10.8
Aces1.21.2
Double faults2.73.7
1st serve %64.3%62.7%
Break %54%39.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Belle Thompson

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 Ruby Ward
UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
31/07 Chia Yi Tsao
W15 Brisbane
1-2 13-18 L
30/07 Olivia Symons
W15 Brisbane
2-0 12-3 W
29/07 I Wen Wan
W15 Brisbane
2-0 12-3 W
23/07 Natsuho Arakawa
W15 Brisbane
1-2 15-16 L
22/07 Tori Russell
W15 Brisbane
2-0 12-4 W
19/07 Destanee Aiava
W15 Brisbane
0-2 5-12 L
18/07 Natsuki Yoshimoto
W15 Brisbane
2-1 16-10 W
17/07 Alana Subasic
W15 Brisbane
2-1 18-18 W
16/07 Mutsumi Uemura
W15 Brisbane
2-0 13-5 W

Juliet Santitto

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 Amelia Zylberman
UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
23/08 Christina Dodaj
UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
22/08 Laquisa Khan
UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard
2-1 13-11 W
20/08 Ranxi Yu
UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
19/08 Lucia Gale
UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
18/08 Arabelle Mancini
UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard
2-1 16-15 W
17/08 Amelia Zylberman
UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
07/08 Zayah Baker
UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard
2-1 13-13 W
05/08 Grace Cadwallader
UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
04/08 Violet Apisah
UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Belle Thompson vs Juliet Santitto?

Our model gives 70% to Belle Thompson, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.