Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Martin Landaluce vs Mattia Bellucci
Team pages: Martin Landaluce · Mattia Bellucci
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Landaluce
Mattia Bellucci
Estimated games
25.1Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Landaluce
4-6 (W-L)
Mattia Bellucci
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Martin Landaluce
4–0
Mattia Bellucci
(4 last)
- 11 May2-0 12-7W
- 03 Jun2-1 17-16W
- 30 Dec2-0 12-5W
- 20 Oct2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Landaluce 1488 · Mattia Bellucci 1485
| Martin Landaluce | Mattia Bellucci | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Martin Landaluce dominates on serve: 7 aces and 43.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Martin Landaluce 4–0 Mattia Bellucci (4).
- Note: Martin Landaluce makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Martin Landaluce | Mattia Bellucci | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-13.6 | 14.9-13.8 |
| Aces | 7 | 7.8 |
| Double faults | 6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 38.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +1.6
Over 23.5: 61% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 39% · 1.83
H2H · Martin Landaluce 4 – 0 Mattia Bellucci (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Martin Landaluce 4–0 Mattia Bellucci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 ATP Rome | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06/25 Challenger Birmingham | 2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 30/12/24 Challenger Canberra | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10/24 Challenger Olbia | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Landaluce
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/08 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Jack Draper ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Michael Zheng ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 15/06 | Terence Atmane ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Tom Gentzsch ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Marc-Andrea Huesler ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Mattia Bellucci
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Zachary Svajda ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Sebastian Baez ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Raphael Collignon ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Alexander Bublik ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Alex Bolt ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 13/06 | Mikhail Kukushkin ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 10/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Landaluce vs Mattia Bellucci?
Our model gives 53% to Martin Landaluce, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.