Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Rinky Hijikata vs Darwin Blanch
Team pages: Rinky Hijikata · Darwin Blanch
Prediction summary
Winner
Rinky Hijikata
Darwin Blanch
Estimated games
24.4Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rinky Hijikata
4-6 (W-L)
Darwin Blanch
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rinky Hijikata 1495 · Darwin Blanch 1430
| Rinky Hijikata | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rinky Hijikata (rating 1495 vs 1430).
Statistics
| Rinky Hijikata | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 0% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-13.5 | 11.5-13.8 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 36.8% | 25.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.9
Over 22.5: 63% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 37% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rinky Hijikata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Gael Monfils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/08 | Jaume Munar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Jesper De Jong Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 26-27 | L |
| 19/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 16/06 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Marcos Giron ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
Darwin Blanch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Filip Cristian Jianu Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rinky Hijikata vs Darwin Blanch?
Our model gives 62% to Rinky Hijikata, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.