Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Adam Walton vs Jesper De Jong
Team pages: Adam Walton · Jesper De Jong
Prediction summary
Winner
Adam Walton
Jesper De Jong
Estimated games
24.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adam Walton
8-2 (W-L)
Jesper De Jong
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adam Walton 1504 · Jesper De Jong 1485
| Adam Walton | Jesper De Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jesper De Jong makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Adam Walton | Jesper De Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-13.2 | 11.8-12.8 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 8.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 31% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.1
Over 22.5: 64% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 36% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adam Walton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 17/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Justin Boulais ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 24/07 | Michael Zheng Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/07 | Thanasi Kokkinakis Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 11/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Jesper De Jong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Vilius Gaubas ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Joao Fonseca Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Rinky Hijikata Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 27-26 | W |
| 16/06 | Laslo Djere Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adam Walton vs Jesper De Jong?
Our model gives 59% to Adam Walton, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.