Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jenson Brooksby
Team pages: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · Jenson Brooksby
Prediction summary
Winner
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Jenson Brooksby
Estimated games
23.7Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
7-3 (W-L)
Jenson Brooksby
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 1463 · Jenson Brooksby 1495
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Jenson Brooksby | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Jenson Brooksby | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.5 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-15 | 10.8-10.5 |
| Aces | 17.8 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 76.3% | 72% |
| Break % | 36.7% | 36.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7 · Bet365 line 24.5 · -0.8
Over 24.5: 45% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 55% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Trevor Svajda ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Yannick Hanfmann Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-25 | L |
| 16/06 | Corentin Moutet ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 14/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Johannus Monday ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Alexander Bublik ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Gauthier Onclin ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Roman Safiullin ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 24/05 | Novak Djokovic French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 17-24 | L |
Jenson Brooksby
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Adam Walton ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Corentin Moutet ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Ignacio Buse Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Aleksandar Vukic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jenson Brooksby?
Our model gives 57% to Jenson Brooksby, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.