Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 22/08, 17:00
Prediction: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Kenta Miyoshi
Team pages: Pierre-Hugues Herbert · Kenta Miyoshi
Prediction summary
Winner
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Kenta Miyoshi
Estimated games
23.6Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
5-5 (W-L)
Kenta Miyoshi
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pierre-Hugues Herbert 1466 · Kenta Miyoshi 1559
| Pierre-Hugues Herbert | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kenta Miyoshi (rating 1466 vs 1559).
- Kenta Miyoshi is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Pierre-Hugues Herbert makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Pierre-Hugues Herbert | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-14.2 | 12.4-9.4 |
| Aces | 12.2 | 4 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 78.5% | 73% |
| Break % | 35.6% | 25% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6 · Bet365 line 24.5 · -0.9
Over 24.5: 43% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 57% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Sandro Kopp ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Thiago Monteiro ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 22/06 | Paul Jubb Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Martin Landaluce ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/06 | Mert Alkaya ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Daniil Glinka ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/05 | Lorenzo Sonego French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 25-25 | L |
| 22/05 | Leandro Riedi French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/05 | Kaichi Uchida French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/05 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Kenta Miyoshi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 06/08 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Arda Azkara Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Hunter Heck Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Kenta Miyoshi?
Our model gives 54% to Kenta Miyoshi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.