Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 22/08, 18:30
Prediction: Hunter Heck vs Mees Rottgering
Team pages: Hunter Heck · Mees Rottgering
Prediction summary
Winner
Hunter Heck
Mees Rottgering
Estimated games
19.9Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hunter Heck
7-3 (W-L)
Mees Rottgering
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hunter Heck 1464 · Mees Rottgering 1529
| Hunter Heck | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mees Rottgering (rating 1464 vs 1529).
Statistics
| Hunter Heck | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.1-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.1 | 9.7-8.6 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 75% |
| Break % | 34.1% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9 · Bet365 line 20.5 · -0.6
Over 20.5: 46% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 54% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hunter Heck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Melih Anavatan Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Shion Yamada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Mees Rottgering
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Henry Searle Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Garrett Johns Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Benjamin Kittay Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Timo Legout M25 Louisville |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hunter Heck vs Mees Rottgering?
Our model gives 72% to Mees Rottgering, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.