Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 22/08, 17:00
Prediction: Hugo Grenier vs Neil Oberleitner
Team pages: Hugo Grenier
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Grenier
Neil Oberleitner
Estimated games
21.2Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Grenier
3-7 (W-L)
Neil Oberleitner
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Grenier 1453 · Neil Oberleitner 1481
| Hugo Grenier | Neil Oberleitner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Hugo Grenier makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Hugo Grenier | Neil Oberleitner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-11.9 | 10.2-11.6 |
| Aces | 6 | 6 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 32.7% | 32.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 48% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 52% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Grenier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Dali Blanch Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Cyril Vandermeersch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Matthias Uwe Kask M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Tristan Berard M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Luca Nardi Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Lloyd Harris French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Neil Oberleitner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Monza · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/03 | Keegan Smith Challenger Thionville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/03 | Arthur Bouquier Challenger Thionville · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 27/01 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Manama · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/01 | Radu Albot Challenger Manama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/01 | Yi Zhou Challenger Nonthaburi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/01 | Hikaru Shiraishi Challenger Nonthaburi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 11/01 | Sanhui Shin Challenger Nonthaburi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/01 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/12 | Marek Gengel Czechia Extraliga |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Grenier vs Neil Oberleitner?
Our model gives 64% to Hugo Grenier, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.