Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 22/08, 18:30
Prediction: Sebastian Gorzny vs Marc Polmans
Team pages: Sebastian Gorzny
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Gorzny
Marc Polmans
Estimated games
21.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Gorzny
3-7 (W-L)
Marc Polmans
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Gorzny 1490 · Marc Polmans 1473
| Sebastian Gorzny | Marc Polmans | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sebastian Gorzny makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Sebastian Gorzny | Marc Polmans | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.5 | 9.4-10 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 29.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.7
Over 22.5: 45% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 55% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Gorzny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Axel Nefve M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 07/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Borna Gojo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 04/08 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Maxwell Exsted M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 21/07 | Borna Gojo Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Gavin Young Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 19/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Landon Ardila M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Marc Polmans
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/06 | Jamie Mackenzie ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/06 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Henri Squire Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Jeremy Schifris Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/04 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/04 | Rodrigo Alujas Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/03 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Morelia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Gorzny vs Marc Polmans?
Our model gives 52% to Sebastian Gorzny, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.