Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 22/08, 17:00
Prediction: Felix Balshaw vs Luca Pow
Team pages: Felix Balshaw · Luca Pow
Prediction summary
Winner
Felix Balshaw
Luca Pow
Estimated games
21.1Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Felix Balshaw
6-4 (W-L)
Luca Pow
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felix Balshaw 1490 · Luca Pow 1502
| Felix Balshaw | Luca Pow | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Felix Balshaw | Luca Pow | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.8 | 10.2-9.6 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 35.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 47% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 53% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felix Balshaw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Luca Pow
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Ozan Baris M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Millen Hurrion M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Jerry Roddick M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Gavin Young M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Jagger Leach M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Stian Klaassen M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Andres Martin M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Lucas Marionneau M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Petro Kuzmenok M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felix Balshaw vs Luca Pow?
Our model gives 64% to Felix Balshaw, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.