Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Team pages: Sho Shimabukuro · Miomir Kecmanovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Sho Shimabukuro
Miomir Kecmanovic
Estimated games
25.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sho Shimabukuro
5-5 (W-L)
Miomir Kecmanovic
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sho Shimabukuro
0–1
Miomir Kecmanovic
(1 last)
- 10 Feb1-2 16-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sho Shimabukuro 1450 · Miomir Kecmanovic 1498
| Sho Shimabukuro | Miomir Kecmanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Miomir Kecmanovic (rating 1450 vs 1498).
- Head-to-head: Sho Shimabukuro 0–1 Miomir Kecmanovic (1).
- Note: Sho Shimabukuro makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Sho Shimabukuro | Miomir Kecmanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.4-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-13.9 | 13.7-15.3 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 35.1% | 33.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3.4
Over 22.5: 72% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 28% · 1.72
H2H · Sho Shimabukuro 0 – 1 Miomir Kecmanovic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sho Shimabukuro 0–1 Miomir Kecmanovic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/26 ATP Dallas | 1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sho Shimabukuro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Hugo Dellien ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Marin Cilic ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-25 | L |
| 17/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Ben Shelton ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Miomir Kecmanovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 21/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-28 | L |
| 25/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic?
Our model gives 63% to Miomir Kecmanovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.