Tennis · ATP Cincinnati MD · 22/08, 18:30
Prediction: Nys/Roger-Vasselin vs Luz/Matos
Team pages: Nys/Roger-Vasselin · Luz/Matos
Prediction summary
Winner
Nys/Roger-Vasselin
Luz/Matos
Estimated games
26.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nys/Roger-Vasselin
3-7 (W-L)
Luz/Matos
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nys/Roger-Vasselin 1553 · Luz/Matos 1612
| Nys/Roger-Vasselin | Luz/Matos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luz/Matos (rating 1553 vs 1612).
Statistics
| Nys/Roger-Vasselin | Luz/Matos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.2-14.8 | 16.1-12.6 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 76% | 79.8% |
| Break % | 24.7% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nys/Roger-Vasselin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Doumbia/Reboul ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-21 | W |
| 20/08 | Heliovaara/Patten ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Johnson/Zielinski ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 08/08 | Marozsan/Medvedev ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Granollers/Zeballos ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 01/08 | Krajicek/Mektic ATP Washington MD · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Andreozzi/Guinard ATP Washington MD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 27/07 | Arribage/Olivetti ATP Washington MD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 04/07 | Rojer/Winegar Wimbledon MD · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 01/07 | Evans/Searle Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Luz/Matos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Bolelli/Vavassori ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Melo/Zverev ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Harrison/Skupski ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 13/08 | Arevalo/Pavic ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-17 | W |
| 12/08 | Cerundolo/Etcheverry ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Andreozzi/Guinard ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 09/08 | Cabral/Tracy ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-1 | 25-21 | W |
| 07/08 | Bolelli/Vavassori ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Seggerman/Trhac ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Isaro/Paris ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nys/Roger-Vasselin vs Luz/Matos?
Our model gives 54% to Luz/Matos, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.