Tennis · ATP Cincinnati MD · 19/08, 22:00
Prediction: Melo/Zverev vs Luz/Matos
Team pages: Luz/Matos
Prediction summary
Winner
Melo/Zverev
Luz/Matos
Estimated games
25.1
Recent form · 10 last
Melo/Zverev
4-6 (W-L)
Luz/Matos
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Melo/Zverev 1448 · Luz/Matos 1596
| Melo/Zverev | Luz/Matos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luz/Matos (rating 1448 vs 1596).
- Luz/Matos is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Melo/Zverev | Luz/Matos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-12.8 | 16.9-13.8 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 78.8% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 30.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Melo/Zverev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Navone/Tabilo ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Chan/Galarneau ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Cobolli/Shelton ATP Halle MD · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Bergs/Bublik ATP Halle MD · Grass |
2-1 | 22-16 | W |
| 11/05 | Arevalo/Pavic ATP Rome MD · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Darderi/Tsitsipas ATP Madrid MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/04 | Doumbia/Reboul ATP Munich MD · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Granollers/Zeballos ATP Monte Carlo MD · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/04 | Johnson/Zielinski ATP Monte Carlo MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/03 | King/Peers ATP Miami MD · Hard |
1-2 | 16-21 | L |
Luz/Matos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Harrison/Skupski ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 13/08 | Arevalo/Pavic ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-17 | W |
| 12/08 | Cerundolo/Etcheverry ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Andreozzi/Guinard ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 09/08 | Cabral/Tracy ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-1 | 25-21 | W |
| 07/08 | Bolelli/Vavassori ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Seggerman/Trhac ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Isaro/Paris ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Gonzalez/Pacheco Mendez ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Droguet/Jacquet ATP Estoril MD · Clay |
1-2 | 22-24 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Melo/Zverev vs Luz/Matos?
Our model gives 65% to Luz/Matos, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.