Tennis · ATP Cincinnati MD · 20/08, 17:00
Prediction: Heliovaara/Patten vs Nys/Roger-Vasselin
Team pages: Heliovaara/Patten · Nys/Roger-Vasselin
Prediction summary
Winner
Heliovaara/Patten
Nys/Roger-Vasselin
Estimated games
24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Heliovaara/Patten
7-3 (W-L)
Nys/Roger-Vasselin
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Heliovaara/Patten
2–1
Nys/Roger-Vasselin
(3 last)
- 10 Apr0-2 7-12L
- 30 Oct2-0 12-5W
- 22 Jan2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Heliovaara/Patten 1580 · Nys/Roger-Vasselin 1526
| Heliovaara/Patten | Nys/Roger-Vasselin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Heliovaara/Patten (rating 1580 vs 1526).
- Head-to-head: Heliovaara/Patten 2–1 Nys/Roger-Vasselin (3).
- Note: Heliovaara/Patten makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Heliovaara/Patten | Nys/Roger-Vasselin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-11.5 | 16-14.2 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 81.9% | 77.6% |
| Break % | 27.2% | 23.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5
H2H · Heliovaara/Patten 2 – 1 Nys/Roger-Vasselin (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Heliovaara/Patten 2–1 Nys/Roger-Vasselin
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 ATP Monte Carlo MD | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/10/25 ATP Paris MD | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/01/25 Australian Open MD | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Heliovaara/Patten
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Hanfmann/Kecmanovic ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Cerundolo/Etcheverry ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Goransson/Ruud ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Buse/Cobolli ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Arevalo/Pavic Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Kokkinakis/Kovacevic Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Andreozzi/Guinard Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 05/07 | Pavlasek/Rikl Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 03/07 | Kiger/Trhac Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 01/07 | Atmane/Sanchez Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Nys/Roger-Vasselin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Johnson/Zielinski ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 08/08 | Marozsan/Medvedev ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Granollers/Zeballos ATP Montreal MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 01/08 | Krajicek/Mektic ATP Washington MD · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Andreozzi/Guinard ATP Washington MD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 27/07 | Arribage/Olivetti ATP Washington MD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 04/07 | Rojer/Winegar Wimbledon MD · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 01/07 | Evans/Searle Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Andreozzi/Guinard ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 25/06 | Johnson/Zielinski ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Heliovaara/Patten vs Nys/Roger-Vasselin?
Our model gives 61% to Heliovaara/Patten, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.