Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 25/08, 03:30
Prediction: Polina Marakhtanova vs Ines Leon
Team pages: Ines Leon
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Marakhtanova
Ines Leon
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Marakhtanova
7-3 (W-L)
Ines Leon
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Marakhtanova 1525 · Ines Leon 1437
| Polina Marakhtanova | Ines Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polina Marakhtanova (rating 1525 vs 1437).
- Polina Marakhtanova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Polina Marakhtanova makes many double faults (5.8/match).
- Note: Ines Leon makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Polina Marakhtanova | Ines Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.3 | 7.6-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.8% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 65% | 34.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Marakhtanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Campbell Ricci UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Catherine Walker UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Sophie Suh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Tsehay Driscoll UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/12 | Shakhnoza Khatamova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/12 | Olivia Allegre UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/12 | Brandy Walker UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/12 | Alisa Lansky UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 16/12 | Lucia Quiterio UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/12 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Ines Leon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Amelie Brooks W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Iva Ivanova W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Romane Longueville W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Sasha Zhan Choulet W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/11 | Lucie Pawlak ITF W15 Torello · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Kate Mansfield ITF W50 Baza |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 28/09 | Elizabeth Jurna ITF W50 Baza |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Victoria Allen ITF W75 Le Neubourg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Nicole Gadient W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Aleksandra Iankovskaia ITF W35 Verbier Qual |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Marakhtanova vs Ines Leon?
Our model gives 62% to Polina Marakhtanova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.