Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · 26/08, 01:00
Prediction: I Wen Wan vs Eva Lopez
Team pages: I Wen Wan · Eva Lopez
Prediction summary
Winner
I Wen Wan
Eva Lopez
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
I Wen Wan
7-3 (W-L)
Eva Lopez
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · I Wen Wan 1626 · Eva Lopez 1532
| I Wen Wan | Eva Lopez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours I Wen Wan (rating 1626 vs 1532).
- Note: I Wen Wan makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| I Wen Wan | Eva Lopez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-6.2 | 12-9.6 |
| Aces | 2.3 | – |
| Double faults | 4.3 | – |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | – |
| Break % | 62% | – |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
I Wen Wan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Sofia Savic UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Taylor Burke UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/08 | Kaylah McPhee UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/08 | Emma Tran UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/08 | Sara Mickoska UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/08 | Ashley Katz UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Ruby Ward UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/08 | Bianca Compuesto UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Belle Thompson W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Eva Lopez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Taylor Burke UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/08 | Sofia Savic UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/08 | Arabelle Mancini UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Sara Mickoska UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/08 | Grace Cadwallader UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Laquisa Khan UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Dayna Harrison UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/08 | Emma Tran UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Violet Apisah UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/08 | Lily Fairclough UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in I Wen Wan vs Eva Lopez?
Our model gives 79% to I Wen Wan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.