Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · 25/08, 02:30
Prediction: Sara Mickoska vs Lucia Gale
Team pages: Sara Mickoska · Lucia Gale
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Mickoska
Lucia Gale
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Mickoska
7-3 (W-L)
Lucia Gale
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Mickoska 1484 · Lucia Gale 1550
| Sara Mickoska | Lucia Gale | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucia Gale (rating 1484 vs 1550).
- Note: Sara Mickoska makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Sara Mickoska | Lucia Gale | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-12 | 9.2-8.8 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 57.5% | 55.5% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 56.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Mickoska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Bridget Mihulka UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/08 | Eva Lopez UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 21/08 | I Wen Wan UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Bianca Compuesto UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 19/08 | Ashley Katz UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Ruby Ward UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Shiho Shibata W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Piper Freeman UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Olivia Quigley UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Lucia Gale
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Christina Dodaj UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Kaylah McPhee UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Ranxi Yu UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/08 | Arabelle Mancini UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Juliet Santitto UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Amelia Zylberman UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Roisin Gilheany W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Rianna Alame W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Miyu Kato UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Kokoro Ishikawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Mickoska vs Lucia Gale?
Our model gives 77% to Lucia Gale, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.