Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · 22/08, 04:00
Prediction: Lucia Gale vs Kaylah McPhee
Team pages: Lucia Gale · Kaylah McPhee
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucia Gale
Kaylah McPhee
Estimated games
18.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lucia Gale
6-4 (W-L)
Kaylah McPhee
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucia Gale 1531 · Kaylah McPhee 1623
| Lucia Gale | Kaylah McPhee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kaylah McPhee (rating 1531 vs 1623).
- Kaylah McPhee is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lucia Gale | Kaylah McPhee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.8-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.1 | 11.1-3 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 54.4% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 55.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucia Gale
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Ranxi Yu UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/08 | Arabelle Mancini UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Juliet Santitto UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Amelia Zylberman UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Roisin Gilheany W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Rianna Alame W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Miyu Kato UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Kokoro Ishikawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Shizuka Sakurada UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Lidia Podgorichani W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Kaylah McPhee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Taylor Burke UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Christina Dodaj UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/08 | Lily Fannin UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/08 | Bridget Mihulka UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/08 | Emma Tran UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/08 | Grace Cadwallader UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/08 | Leana Nannapaneni UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Yilin Yan UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Zayah Baker UTR Pro Brisbane Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/06 | Caitlin Baker UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucia Gale vs Kaylah McPhee?
Our model gives 79% to Kaylah McPhee, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.