Tennis · M15 Mistelbach · 20/08, 11:30
Prediction: Gabriele Crivellaro vs Marcel Zielinski
Team pages: Gabriele Crivellaro · Marcel Zielinski
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Crivellaro
Marcel Zielinski
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Crivellaro
5-5 (W-L)
Marcel Zielinski
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Crivellaro 1522 · Marcel Zielinski 1607
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Marcel Zielinski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marcel Zielinski (rating 1522 vs 1607).
Statistics
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Marcel Zielinski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.7 | 12.7-9.1 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 57.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Crivellaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Radovan Michalik M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/08 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/08 | Marcello Serafini M25 Fano |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Justin Schlageter M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Adrian Andreev M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Gabriele Pennaforti M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Marcel Zielinski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Felix Fischer M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/08 | Ziga Sesko M15 Trier |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Oliver Majdandzic M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Giovanni Branchetti M15 Trier |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/08 | Vladyslav Orlov M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Michael Savano M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Alexander Wagner M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Gabriele Vulpitta M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 31/07 | Daniel Michalski M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Crivellaro vs Marcel Zielinski?
Our model gives 70% to Marcel Zielinski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.