Tennis · M15 Mistelbach · 20/08, 10:00
Prediction: Nicolo Toffanin vs Gabriele Maria Noce
Team pages: Nicolo Toffanin · Gabriele Maria Noce
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolo Toffanin
Gabriele Maria Noce
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolo Toffanin
0-10 (W-L)
Gabriele Maria Noce
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nicolo Toffanin
0–2
Gabriele Maria Noce
(2 last)
- 03 Mar1-2 9-15L
- 24 Feb1-2 7-11L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolo Toffanin 1440 · Gabriele Maria Noce 1511
| Nicolo Toffanin | Gabriele Maria Noce | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriele Maria Noce (rating 1440 vs 1511).
- Gabriele Maria Noce is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Nicolo Toffanin 0–2 Gabriele Maria Noce (2).
- Note: Gabriele Maria Noce makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Nicolo Toffanin | Gabriele Maria Noce | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.8 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-12.4 | 11.9-12.3 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 51% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Nicolo Toffanin 0 – 2 Gabriele Maria Noce (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nicolo Toffanin 0–2 Gabriele Maria Noce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/26 M15 Antalya | 1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 24/02/26 M15 Antalya | 1-2 | 7-11 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolo Toffanin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Paul Schmid M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Tobia Grandinetti M25 Fano |
1-2 | 6-8 | L |
| 28/07 | Gabriel Sardo M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Gabriele Vulpitta M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Facundo Yunis M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Gabriele Maria Noce
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Patrick Jozwicki M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/08 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Nicola Rispoli M25 Fano |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/08 | Veljko Krstic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Pietro Pampanin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 29/07 | Marko Nikolic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Pierre Delage M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Pietro Marino M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolo Toffanin vs Gabriele Maria Noce?
Our model gives 71% to Gabriele Maria Noce, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.