Tennis · M15 Mistelbach · 20/08, 10:00

Prediction: Theodore Dean vs Luc Wieland

Team pages: Theodore Dean · Luc Wieland

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Theodore Dean Luc Wieland
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Theodore Dean 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWWLWLW
Luc Wieland 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Theodore Dean 1499 · Luc Wieland 1547
Theodore DeanLuc Wieland
Our model43%57%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luc Wieland (rating 1499 vs 1547).

Statistics

Theodore DeanLuc Wieland
Win %50%70%
Win % · Hard 43% (7) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-11.5-0.8
Games (G-P)10.7-10.311.1-9.8
Aces0.50.8
Double faults2.82.1
1st serve %64.7%64.8%
Break %40.8%42.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Theodore Dean

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Aadarsh Tripathi
M15 Mistelbach
2-0 12-7 W
09/07 Stian Klaassen
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
0-2 7-12 L
08/07 Bryce Nakashima
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
2-0 12-6 W
03/07 Aidan Kim
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
02/07 Rafael De Alba
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
01/07 Rudy Quan
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
11/06 Maxwell Exsted
M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
1-2 15-18 L
11/06 Vit Kalina
M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
2-0 9-3 W
02/06 Ozan Baris
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
0-2 12-14 L
29/05 Spencer Johnson
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L

Luc Wieland

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Juan Ignacio Gallego
M15 Mistelbach
2-0 13-9 W
17/08 Kabeer Kapasi
M15 Mistelbach
2-0 12-6 W
09/08 Noah Karma
M25 Muttenz
1-2 11-12 L
01/07 Timofei Derepasko
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
30/06 Michael Minasyan
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 10-7 W
14/03 Lucca Liu
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
14/03 Matteo Huarte
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
12/03 Daniel Jankoski
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
10/03 Jacob Brumm
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
10/03 Jonathan Mridha
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 13-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Theodore Dean vs Luc Wieland?

Our model gives 59% to Theodore Dean, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.