Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 20/08, 10:30
Prediction: Andrea Motta vs Anton Arzhankin
Team pages: Andrea Motta · Anton Arzhankin
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Motta
Anton Arzhankin
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Motta
6-4 (W-L)
Anton Arzhankin
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Motta 1493 · Anton Arzhankin 1560
| Andrea Motta | Anton Arzhankin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anton Arzhankin (rating 1493 vs 1560).
- Anton Arzhankin is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Andrea Motta | Anton Arzhankin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.8 | 11.1-7.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Motta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Maksim Despotovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Franco Ariel Vazquez M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Ansar Niyetkaliyev M15 Astana |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 27/07 | Rafael Giotis M15 Astana |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 06/05 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 10/02 | Vlad Andrei Dancu M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 04/02 | Alexander Wagner M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/02 | Botond Nagy M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/11 | Maksim Shin M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Anton Arzhankin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Boris Butulija M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-0 | W |
| 13/08 | Marat Sharipov M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Liam Delicata M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Ognjen Milic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 11/07 | Antoni Fabre M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Alessandro Bellifemine M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-1 | 5-9 | L |
| 09/06 | Simeon Stankovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Motta vs Anton Arzhankin?
Our model gives 69% to Anton Arzhankin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.