Tennis · W35 Krakow · 20/08, 10:00
Prediction: Ariana Geerlings vs Lucie Petruzelova
Team pages: Ariana Geerlings · Lucie Petruzelova
Prediction summary
Winner
Ariana Geerlings
Lucie Petruzelova
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ariana Geerlings
10-0 (W-L)
Lucie Petruzelova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ariana Geerlings 1638 · Lucie Petruzelova 1552
| Ariana Geerlings | Lucie Petruzelova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ariana Geerlings (rating 1638 vs 1552).
- Ariana Geerlings is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Note: Ariana Geerlings makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Ariana Geerlings | Lucie Petruzelova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-5.4 | 12.2-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 61.8% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ariana Geerlings
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Miriana Tona W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/08 | Jessica Laura Pabisiak W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Mariia Masiianskaia W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 30/07 | Mathilde Ngijol Carre W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Charlotte Pikkaart W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Federica Sacco W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/07 | Natalija Senic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Lucie Petruzelova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Cristina Elena Tiglea W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Bydgoszcz |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Saoirse Breen W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Emma Slavikova W15 Bielsko Biala |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Oriana Gniewkowska W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Laura Svatikova W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Kali Supova W100 Amstetten |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Karolina Vlckova W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ariana Geerlings vs Lucie Petruzelova?
Our model gives 71% to Ariana Geerlings, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.