Tennis · W35 Krakow · 19/08, 10:00
Prediction: Gaia Maduzzi vs Elena Malygina
Team pages: Gaia Maduzzi · Elena Malygina
Prediction summary
Winner
Gaia Maduzzi
Elena Malygina
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Gaia Maduzzi
5-5 (W-L)
Elena Malygina
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gaia Maduzzi 1512 · Elena Malygina 1471
| Gaia Maduzzi | Elena Malygina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gaia Maduzzi (rating 1512 vs 1471).
Statistics
| Gaia Maduzzi | Elena Malygina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-8.4 | 10-12.3 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 52.7% |
| Break % | 62.5% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gaia Maduzzi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Bydgoszcz |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Leticia Solakov W35 Bydgoszcz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/07 | Julie Myatovic W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Mia Ristic W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Lia Karatancheva W35 Torino |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Jessica Bertoldo W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Galatea Ferro W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Beatrice Ricci W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Elena Malygina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Zuzanna Kolonus W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Laima Vladson W75 Leipzig |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/08 | Dalila Jakupovic W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Jule Niemeier WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Lisa Zaar WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Sofya Lansere WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Viola Turini WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 24/06 | Daria Kuczer W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Elina Avanesyan Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gaia Maduzzi vs Elena Malygina?
Our model gives 51% to Elena Malygina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.