Tennis · W35 Krakow · 18/08, 13:00
Prediction: Miriana Tona vs Ariana Geerlings
Team pages: Miriana Tona
Prediction summary
Winner
Miriana Tona
Ariana Geerlings
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Miriana Tona
3-7 (W-L)
Ariana Geerlings
10-0 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miriana Tona 1472 · Ariana Geerlings 1642
| Miriana Tona | Ariana Geerlings | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 73% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ariana Geerlings (rating 1472 vs 1642).
- Ariana Geerlings is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Note: Ariana Geerlings makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Miriana Tona | Ariana Geerlings | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 100% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 100% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 2-0.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-10.8 | 12.3-5.3 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 61.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miriana Tona
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Briana Szabo WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/07 | Isabella Shinikova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Yufei Ren WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Clara Tauson WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Sapfo Sakellaridi WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Nao Hibino WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Maria Rentoumi WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Marta Lombardini W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 11/06 | Dunja Maric W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Ariana Geerlings
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Jessica Laura Pabisiak W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Mariia Masiianskaia W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 30/07 | Mathilde Ngijol Carre W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Charlotte Pikkaart W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Federica Sacco W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/07 | Natalija Senic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miriana Tona vs Ariana Geerlings?
Our model gives 80% to Ariana Geerlings, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.