Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 20/08, 10:00

Prediction: Esteban Talavera Cortes vs Stefan Horia Haita

Team pages: Esteban Talavera Cortes · Stefan Horia Haita

Prediction summary
Winner
22% 78%
Esteban Talavera Cortes Stefan Horia Haita
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Esteban Talavera Cortes 1-9 (W-L)
LLLWLLLLLL
Stefan Horia Haita 7-3 (W-L)
WLWLLWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Esteban Talavera Cortes 1460 · Stefan Horia Haita 1549
Esteban Talavera CortesStefan Horia Haita
Our model37%63%
Market9%91%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefan Horia Haita (rating 1460 vs 1549).
  • Stefan Horia Haita is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Esteban Talavera CortesStefan Horia Haita
Win %30%70%
Win % · Clay 33% (6) 75% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.61.5-0.9
Games (G-P)8.6-11.812.8-9.5
Aces1.63
Double faults2.42.7
1st serve %62.3%70.6%
Break %49%52.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Esteban Talavera Cortes

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Oscar Brown
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 17-14 W
29/07 Carlos Lopez Montagud
M15 Xativa
0-2 7-12 L
28/07 Amaan Siddiqui
M15 Xativa
2-1 9-11 W
22/07 Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M25 Denia
0-2 6-12 L
29/06 Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
16/06 Alejandro Juan Mano
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
15/06 Mario Arce Fernandez
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
10/06 Mustapha El Natour
M25 Martos · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
30/05 Sergio R Pereira
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
29/05 Pavel Lagutin
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Stefan Horia Haita

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Vuk Pantic Crncevic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
16/08 Sean Cuenin
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 18-16 L
15/08 Andrey Chepelev
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 16-14 W
14/08 Vuk Radjenovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
13/08 Facundo Perlov
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
12/08 Branko Djuric
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 15-12 W
03/08 Gerard Campana Lee
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
02/08 Dimitar Kisimov
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-1 18-8 W
31/07 Stefan Adrian Andreescu
M25 Pitesti
0-2 7-13 L
30/07 Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre
M25 Pitesti
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Esteban Talavera Cortes vs Stefan Horia Haita?

Our model gives 78% to Stefan Horia Haita, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.