Tennis · M15 Bastad · 19/08, 12:00
Prediction: Joao Victor Couto Loureiro vs Dorian Tremblay
Team pages: Joao Victor Couto Loureiro · Dorian Tremblay
Prediction summary
Winner
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Dorian Tremblay
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
5-5 (W-L)
Dorian Tremblay
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joao Victor Couto Loureiro 1476 · Dorian Tremblay 1513
| Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Dorian Tremblay | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Joao Victor Couto Loureiro makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Dorian Tremblay | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.2 | 9.1-9 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Davide Tortora M15 Malmo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Dominik Kellovsky Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 05/07 | Salvador Price Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Juan Bautista Otegui Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/06 | Tomas Martinez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Dorian Tremblay
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Filip Christoffersson M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/08 | William Kaltenecker M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen M15 Malmo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Samuel Rovai M15 Malmo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Amaury Raynel M15 Strasbourg |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Noah Boutleux M15 Strasbourg |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Max Benaim M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Ivan Biletic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 25/06 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Nazar Oliynykov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joao Victor Couto Loureiro vs Dorian Tremblay?
Our model gives 60% to Joao Victor Couto Loureiro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.