Tennis · M15 Bastad · 20/08, 11:45
Prediction: Leo Borg vs Karl Friberg
Team pages: Leo Borg · Karl Friberg
Prediction summary
Winner
Leo Borg
Karl Friberg
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Leo Borg
6-4 (W-L)
Karl Friberg
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Leo Borg
0–1
Karl Friberg
(1 last)
- 18 Sept1-2 13-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leo Borg 1486 · Karl Friberg 1625
| Leo Borg | Karl Friberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karl Friberg (rating 1486 vs 1625).
- Karl Friberg is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Leo Borg 0–1 Karl Friberg (1).
Statistics
| Leo Borg | Karl Friberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11 | 11.8-7.1 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Leo Borg 0 – 1 Karl Friberg (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leo Borg 0–1 Karl Friberg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/25 ITF M25 Nevers | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leo Borg
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Lucas Renard M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Kevin Edengren M15 Malmo |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Muhammad Shoaib M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 29/04 | Aqeel Khan M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/04 | Alastair Gray M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Dragos Nicolae Madaras M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/03 | Sidharth Rawat M15 Ahmedabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/03 | Arjun Rathi M15 Ahmedabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Karl Friberg
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Melvin Kumar M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-0 | W |
| 16/08 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Malmo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Nikola Slavic M15 Malmo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/08 | Victor Ryden M15 Malmo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Kevin Edengren M15 Malmo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/07 | Petr Nesterov M25 Gentofte |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 30/07 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Lenn Luemkemann M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leo Borg vs Karl Friberg?
Our model gives 62% to Karl Friberg, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.