Tennis · M15 Bastad · 21/08, 10:00
Prediction: Kevin Edengren vs Niklas Guttau
Team pages: Kevin Edengren · Niklas Guttau
Prediction summary
Winner
Kevin Edengren
Niklas Guttau
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kevin Edengren
3-7 (W-L)
Niklas Guttau
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kevin Edengren 1476 · Niklas Guttau 1548
| Kevin Edengren | Niklas Guttau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niklas Guttau (rating 1476 vs 1548).
- Niklas Guttau is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kevin Edengren | Niklas Guttau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (2) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-11.9 | 11.3-7.9 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 28.3% | 60.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kevin Edengren
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Karl Friberg M15 Malmo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Leo Borg M15 Malmo |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Adam Lynch M25 Denia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Francisco Faria M25 Porto |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Rahul Dhokia M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/05 | Yanki Erel M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Niklas Guttau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Alessandro Battiston M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Isac Stroemberg M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/08 | Olle Wallin Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Nikolai Barsukov Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 06/08 | Vladyslav Orlov M15 Bielsko Biala |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/07 | Tom Zeuch M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Oriol Roca Batalla M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Giammarco Gandolfi M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Lasse Poertner M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 5-9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kevin Edengren vs Niklas Guttau?
Our model gives 63% to Niklas Guttau, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.