Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 18/08, 12:00
Prediction: Oscar Brown vs Esteban Talavera Cortes
Team pages: Oscar Brown · Esteban Talavera Cortes
Prediction summary
Winner
Oscar Brown
Esteban Talavera Cortes
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Oscar Brown
8-2 (W-L)
Esteban Talavera Cortes
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oscar Brown 1556 · Esteban Talavera Cortes 1434
| Oscar Brown | Esteban Talavera Cortes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oscar Brown (rating 1556 vs 1434).
- Oscar Brown is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Oscar Brown | Esteban Talavera Cortes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-7.6 | 7.9-11.9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oscar Brown
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Stefan Popovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Sergej Zivkovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Charles Broom M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Benjamin Gusic Wan M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Rocco Piatti M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Zach Stephens M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Matthew Carroll M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Tiago Cacao M25 Aldershot |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Conor Brady M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Harry Jordan M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Esteban Talavera Cortes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Amaan Siddiqui M15 Xativa |
2-1 | 9-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M25 Denia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Alejandro Juan Mano M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Mustapha El Natour M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Sergio R Pereira UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/05 | Pavel Lagutin UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Juan Pablo Valdez Guzon UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oscar Brown vs Esteban Talavera Cortes?
Our model gives 75% to Oscar Brown, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.