Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 18/08, 09:30
Prediction: Haruka Kaji vs Sakura Hosogi
Team pages: Sakura Hosogi
Prediction summary
Winner
Haruka Kaji
Sakura Hosogi
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Haruka Kaji
3-7 (W-L)
Sakura Hosogi
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Haruka Kaji
2–1
Sakura Hosogi
(3 last)
- 21 Apr2-0 13-7W
- 09 Apr2-0 12-3W
- 15 Nov0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Haruka Kaji 1468 · Sakura Hosogi 1522
| Haruka Kaji | Sakura Hosogi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sakura Hosogi (rating 1468 vs 1522).
- Head-to-head: Haruka Kaji 2–1 Sakura Hosogi (3).
Statistics
| Haruka Kaji | Sakura Hosogi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10 | 10.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.3% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 60.6% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Haruka Kaji 2 – 1 Sakura Hosogi (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Haruka Kaji 2–1 Sakura Hosogi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/25 W100 Tokyo | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/04/25 W35 Osaka | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/11/22 ITF W60 Tokyo | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Haruka Kaji
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Taylah Preston WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Julieta Pareja W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Ankita Raina W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/07 | Lea Ma W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Julieta Pareja W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Christasha McNeil W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Sofia Johnson W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Dayeon Back W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Sakura Hosogi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Lea Boskovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Darja Vidmanova W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Ena Koike W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Sara Saito W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Ena Koike W75 Granby |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Alexandra Vagramov W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Hayu Kinoshita W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Julieta Pareja W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 11/07 | Sara Daavettila W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Ana Grubor W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Haruka Kaji vs Sakura Hosogi?
Our model gives 53% to Haruka Kaji, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.