Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · 20/08, 03:30
Prediction: Lucia Gale vs Arabelle Mancini
Team pages: Lucia Gale · Arabelle Mancini
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucia Gale
Arabelle Mancini
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lucia Gale
5-5 (W-L)
Arabelle Mancini
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucia Gale 1498 · Arabelle Mancini 1490
| Lucia Gale | Arabelle Mancini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Arabelle Mancini makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Lucia Gale | Arabelle Mancini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-10.3 | 8.9-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 7 |
| 1st serve % | 51.9% | 61% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 57.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucia Gale
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Juliet Santitto UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Amelia Zylberman UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Roisin Gilheany W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Rianna Alame W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Miyu Kato UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Kokoro Ishikawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Shizuka Sakurada UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Lidia Podgorichani W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Eunchae Kim W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 03/05 | Amittalai Prasutnawin W15 Nakhon Pathom Qual · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Arabelle Mancini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Juliet Santitto UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 17/08 | Ranxi Yu UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Caitlin Baker UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Isabella Crossman UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Pauline Ma UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/05 | Nikita Desai UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/05 | Grace Cadwallader UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Ruby Ward UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Nikita Desai UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/05 | Jasmine Adams UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucia Gale vs Arabelle Mancini?
Our model gives 62% to Lucia Gale, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.