Tennis · M15 Mistelbach · 18/08, 10:00
Prediction: Radovan Michalik vs Gabriele Crivellaro
Team pages: Radovan Michalik · Gabriele Crivellaro
Prediction summary
Winner
Radovan Michalik
Gabriele Crivellaro
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Radovan Michalik
2-8 (W-L)
Gabriele Crivellaro
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Radovan Michalik 1437 · Gabriele Crivellaro 1495
| Radovan Michalik | Gabriele Crivellaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriele Crivellaro (rating 1437 vs 1495).
- Gabriele Crivellaro is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Radovan Michalik | Gabriele Crivellaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-11.6 | 9.6-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 33.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Radovan Michalik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Peter Makk M15 Poprad |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Adam Majchrzak M25 Koszalin |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Tomas Lanik M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Stevan Popovic M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Gabor Hornung M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Corentin Denolly M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Xavier Ferrer Mateo M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Gabriele Crivellaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/08 | Marcello Serafini M25 Fano |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Justin Schlageter M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Adrian Andreev M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Gabriele Pennaforti M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Radovan Michalik vs Gabriele Crivellaro?
Our model gives 64% to Gabriele Crivellaro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.