Tennis · M15 Mistelbach · 19/08, 10:00

Prediction: Luc Wieland vs Juan Ignacio Gallego

Team pages: Luc Wieland · Juan Ignacio Gallego

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Luc Wieland Juan Ignacio Gallego
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Luc Wieland 4-6 (W-L)
LWWWLLLLLW
Juan Ignacio Gallego 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLWLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Luc Wieland 1523 · Juan Ignacio Gallego 1468
Luc WielandJuan Ignacio Gallego
Our model58%42%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luc Wieland (rating 1523 vs 1468).

Statistics

Luc WielandJuan Ignacio Gallego
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.3-10.9-1.5
Games (G-P)10.2-10.19.9-12.2
Aces10
Double faults2.22.5
1st serve %64.2%59.8%
Break %37.7%37.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Luc Wieland

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/08 Kabeer Kapasi
M15 Mistelbach
2-0 12-6 W
09/08 Noah Karma
M25 Muttenz
1-2 11-12 L
01/07 Timofei Derepasko
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
30/06 Michael Minasyan
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 10-7 W
14/03 Lucca Liu
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
14/03 Matteo Huarte
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
12/03 Daniel Jankoski
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
10/03 Jacob Brumm
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
10/03 Jonathan Mridha
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
23/11 Lambert Ruland
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Juan Ignacio Gallego

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/07 Nocolas A Jara Lozano
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
30/07 Santiago Lora
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-1 19-14 W
29/07 Andres Medus
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-1 17-15 W
27/07 Santiago Franchini
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
1-2 14-17 L
08/07 Thiago Cigarran
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
0-2 3-12 L
07/07 Petr Iamachkine
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
2-0 12-6 W
07/06 Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
11/05 Ryan Dickerson
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
07/05 Juan Estevez
M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
05/05 Enzo Lima
M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay
2-1 15-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Luc Wieland vs Juan Ignacio Gallego?

Our model gives 62% to Luc Wieland, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.