Tennis · M15 Mistelbach · 18/08, 10:00
Prediction: Leyton Rivera vs Nikita Mashtakov
Team pages: Leyton Rivera · Nikita Mashtakov
Prediction summary
Winner
Leyton Rivera
Nikita Mashtakov
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Leyton Rivera
6-4 (W-L)
Nikita Mashtakov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leyton Rivera 1503 · Nikita Mashtakov 1568
| Leyton Rivera | Nikita Mashtakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikita Mashtakov (rating 1503 vs 1568).
Statistics
| Leyton Rivera | Nikita Mashtakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.5 | 12.4-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 45.9% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leyton Rivera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Karol Filar M15 Poprad |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 06/08 | David Bakonyi M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Jesse De Jager M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Matic Kriznik M15 Wels |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Linus Lagerbohm M15 Lodz |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Jakub Jedrzejczak M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Petr Michnev M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Tomasz Berkieta M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Maximilian Figl M15 Store |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Nikita Mashtakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Sebastian Sec M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/06 | Andrej Nedic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 20/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Bor Artnak M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 12/06 | Sean Cuenin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Samuil Chestovaliev M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leyton Rivera vs Nikita Mashtakov?
Our model gives 71% to Nikita Mashtakov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.