Tennis · M15 Mistelbach · 19/08, 10:00
Prediction: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Alexander Wagner
Team pages: Luka Talan Lopatic · Alexander Wagner
Prediction summary
Winner
Luka Talan Lopatic
Alexander Wagner
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Luka Talan Lopatic
6-4 (W-L)
Alexander Wagner
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luka Talan Lopatic 1548 · Alexander Wagner 1486
| Luka Talan Lopatic | Alexander Wagner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luka Talan Lopatic (rating 1548 vs 1486).
Statistics
| Luka Talan Lopatic | Alexander Wagner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10 | 11.7-12.8 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luka Talan Lopatic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Tomas Quesada Perez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/08 | Junxiong Dong M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Xativa |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Manuel Belda M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 11/07 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 10/07 | William Mirarchi M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Henrik Bladelius M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Alexander Wagner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Bielsko Biala |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Vitek Horak M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 23/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Aleksandr Braynin M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kramsach |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Manuel Plunger M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Dominik Recek M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Matyas Fuele M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Patrik Meszaros M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Alexandr Tiutchenko M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luka Talan Lopatic vs Alexander Wagner?
Our model gives 60% to Luka Talan Lopatic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.