Tennis · M15 Mistelbach · 18/08, 11:30
Prediction: Patrick Jozwicki vs Gabriele Maria Noce
Team pages: Patrick Jozwicki · Gabriele Maria Noce
Prediction summary
Winner
Patrick Jozwicki
Gabriele Maria Noce
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Patrick Jozwicki
2-8 (W-L)
Gabriele Maria Noce
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patrick Jozwicki 1423 · Gabriele Maria Noce 1472
| Patrick Jozwicki | Gabriele Maria Noce | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriele Maria Noce (rating 1423 vs 1472).
- Gabriele Maria Noce is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Gabriele Maria Noce makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Patrick Jozwicki | Gabriele Maria Noce | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.6 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.9-11.3 | 11.6-12.1 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.1% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 45% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patrick Jozwicki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Marat Sharipov M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Jiri Cizek M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Ali Yazdani M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Sergio Planella Hernandez M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Rocco Piatti M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Giovanni Ciocca M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Stefan Cooper M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Melih Anavatan M15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/03 | Luca Staeheli M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Aditya Balsekar ITF M25 Kigali · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Gabriele Maria Noce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Nicola Rispoli M25 Fano |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/08 | Veljko Krstic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Pietro Pampanin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 29/07 | Marko Nikolic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Pierre Delage M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Pietro Marino M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Filippo Alfano M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patrick Jozwicki vs Gabriele Maria Noce?
Our model gives 71% to Gabriele Maria Noce, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.