Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 18/08, 20:30
Prediction: Joel Schwaerzler vs Kenta Miyoshi
Team pages: Joel Schwaerzler · Kenta Miyoshi
Prediction summary
Winner
Joel Schwaerzler
Kenta Miyoshi
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Joel Schwaerzler
5-5 (W-L)
Kenta Miyoshi
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joel Schwaerzler 1546 · Kenta Miyoshi 1594
| Joel Schwaerzler | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kenta Miyoshi (rating 1546 vs 1594).
Statistics
| Joel Schwaerzler | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.8 | 13.2-9.4 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.5% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joel Schwaerzler
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 09/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 07/08 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 04/08 | Jiri Cizek Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Jurij Rodionov ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Kenta Miyoshi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 06/08 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Arda Azkara Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Hunter Heck Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Dan Added Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joel Schwaerzler vs Kenta Miyoshi?
Our model gives 51% to Joel Schwaerzler, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.