Prediction: Olive Maunupau vs Lilian Poling

Team pages: Lilian Poling

Prediction summary
Winner
30% 70%
Olive Maunupau Lilian Poling
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Olive Maunupau 2-8 (W-L)
LLWLLLLWLL
Lilian Poling 2-8 (W-L)
WLLLLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Olive Maunupau 1423 · Lilian Poling 1457
Olive MaunupauLilian Poling
Our model45%55%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Olive Maunupau makes many double faults (9.2/match).
  • Note: Lilian Poling makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Olive MaunupauLilian Poling
Win %20%40%
Win % · Hard 20% (10) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.60.9-1.4
Games (G-P)8.6-12.49.3-11.3
Aces0.21
Double faults9.24.8
1st serve %52.1%54.8%
Break %44.2%46.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Olive Maunupau

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/08 Audrey Spencer
UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
03/04 Mayra Gisone
UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard
1-2 9-14 L
03/04 Sara Conde
UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
02/04 Zora Koenig
UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
01/04 Khrystyna Vozniak
UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
31/03 Susana Souhrada
UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
21/12 Camille Kiss
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
1-2 9-15 L
21/12 Lucia Quiterio
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
19/12 Kelly Keller
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
18/12 Matilde Magrini
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Lilian Poling

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/08 Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
28/07 Lexington Reed
W75 Lexington
1-2 11-15 L
23/07 Emma Dong
W35 Saskatoon
0-2 6-12 L
22/07 Alexandra Vagramov
W35 Saskatoon
2-0 13-8 W
13/07 Emma Dong
W75 Granby
0-2 5-12 L
14/05 Maria Sara Popa
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
13/05 Joulia Cristiana Cirstea
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W
07/05 Esther Adeshina
W35 Nottingham
0-2 6-12 L
06/05 Urszula Radwanska
W35 Nottingham
2-1 14-14 W
04/05 Lara Savic
W35 Nottingham Qual
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Olive Maunupau vs Lilian Poling?

Our model gives 70% to Lilian Poling, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.